Weekly Report · Updated July 9, 2026

Email Performance Analysis

Every daily email compared against its own category baseline — apply (coaching), product (Masterclass / Tackling Texting), and content (podcast / video / posts) — plus list growth, churn, and buyer signals from the weekly BerserkerMail export.

Data coverage: email performance through Jun 23 (last sent-emails export, pulled Jun 24 — Jun 22–23 opens understated) · list & retention through Jul 7.

32.7%
Avg Open (Email Wk)
+3
Real New (List Wk)
23
Unsubs (List Wk)
~80%
1-Wk Survival
449
Buyers (Flat)
01 · This Period's Emails

Every email vs. its category baseline

Baselines are the trailing 90 days (Mar 25 – Jun 21), full-list sends only: apply 34.1% open / 0.13% click · product 35.3% / 0.22% · content 34.0% / 1.64%. Deltas are against the email's own category.

DateSubjectTypeOpenΔ OpenClickΔ ClickUnsubs
Jun 9What You Should Have Been Told About Sex When You Were 16apply32.0%−2.10.09%−0.044
Jun 10AI Psychosisapply33.0%−1.10.15%+0.023
Jun 11Turning Your Strong Opinions Into a Good Dating Lifeapply32.9%−1.20.22%+0.097
Jun 12Why ruthless approaches are low ROIapply33.1%−1.00.17%+0.047
Jun 13A Patricia of Your Ownapply33.6%−0.50.20%+0.076
Jun 14Understanding the Beliefs that Cripple Youapply32.1%−2.00.20%+0.074
Jun 15OnlyFans vs. Strip Clubs vs. Escortsapply34.0%−0.10.25%+0.126
Jun 16A Phase, Her Character, Or Your Mood?apply31.6%−2.50.18%+0.056
Jun 17Liberating Her From Sisterhoodapply32.9%−1.20.20%+0.073
Jun 18Magic Spells She Uses Against Youapply33.4%−0.70.17%+0.044
Jun 19Don't Date The Abortion Doctorapply31.9%−2.20.15%+0.023
Jun 20Why Arranged Marriages Are Coming Backcontent33.1%−0.90.71%−0.935
Jun 21The Casanova Nice Guyapply32.2%−1.90.18%+0.055
Jun 22The Best Part Of Being A Man *apply29.0%0.15%2
Jun 23The Holy Grail of Self-Work *apply15.9%0.14%1
* Jun 22–23 opens were still accumulating when the report was pulled — deltas suppressed. Every send in this window was an apply email except Jun 20's video email (the Jun 13–23 stretch was the Father's Day / coaching sales sequence). No product emails went out this period.
02 · Standouts

Emails that beat their category

Why Arranged Marriages Are Coming Back Content Under Baseline
Jun 20 · The only content email of the period — a video send. It drew the most clicks of the window (46), but at 0.71% it ran well under the 1.64% content baseline. The provocative subject earned a normal open rate, so the gap is in the body: fewer readers clicked through to the video than a typical content email gets. Worth comparing the email's pitch against recent above-baseline video sends.
Open33.1%
Click0.71%
Content Baseline1.64%
Unsubs5
OnlyFans vs. Strip Clubs vs. Escorts Apply
Jun 15 · Best open rate of the period (34.0%, right at baseline in a soft month) and nearly 2× the category click rate (0.25%). The comparison-listicle subject line pulled both attention and action.
Open34.0%
Click0.25%
Unsubs6
The coaching sales sequence (Jun 13–23) Apply
The Father's Day coaching push ("$10,000 I Didn't Have," "Name Your Kid After Me," "Ayahuascan't," "No Kids") ran clicks consistently above the apply baseline (0.17–0.25% vs 0.13%) without an unsub spike — the list absorbed an 11-day sales run at normal churn. One new full-price buyer (Nicolás, DMM + OTO coaching upsell) landed inside this window.
03 · Unsub Watch

What cost subscribers — and what didn't

This period was clean: no email exceeded 0.11% unsub rate (7 people), right at the long-run norm. For context, the all-time worst offenders show what a real spike looks like.

All-Time Unsub SpikesTypeDateUnsub RateLost
Hey Fa**otapplyOct 14, 20250.43%26
Free Sex WorkshopproductNov 14, 20250.30%18
The Problem With Homo-Erotic Men's GroupsapplyOct 19, 20250.28%17
Why I Never CuckproductNov 17, 20250.25%15
Your Application Has Been DeniedapplyApr 26, 20260.25%16
Pattern: unsub spikes come from shock subject lines and launch-week fatigue, not from selling per se. The long-run unsub rate is nearly identical across apply (0.106%), product (0.119%), and content (0.112%) — daily selling does not cost meaningfully more subscribers than content.
04 · List Health

Subscriber flow: June 30 → July 7

Growth — first negative week on recordAction
Only 3 real new subscribers, all from the home page. Twitter organic — which brought 47, then 24 in the prior weeks — went to zero. Net real movement: −20. Churn didn't spike; acquisition stopped. Top action: find out why Twitter posting/linking went silent. Meanwhile 138 new bot form-fills hit the Application Funnel — the June 30 purge cleaned history but the leak is still open.
Real New+3
Unsubs23
Net Real−20
Bot-Filled+138
Churn — normal
23 unsubscribes ≈ 0.35%/week, within the month's 0.29–0.35% range. The pattern held: mostly long-tenured subscribers (39% were 2+ years in), median tenure at exit ~15 months. Retention is not the problem this week.
Churn Rate0.35%/wk
Median Tenure at Exit~15 mo
Buyers & Intent
Buyers flat at 449 for the third straight week, despite the Masterclass push generating sales-page clicks (27 tagged in late June) and 19 new clicks on the 1-on-1 application this week. If clicks keep flowing without conversions, the sales page — not the emails — is the suspect. 22 people entered Greatest Hits.
Buyers449
1-on-1 Clicks19
Greatest Hits Adds22
06 · Retention Tracker

One-week survival: a new subscriber's chance of still being here 7 days later

The headline metric. For each join-week cohort, we check every subscriber's status at the first snapshot at least 7 days after they joined. Current answer: a new subscriber has an ~80% chance of surviving their first week (166 of 208 measurable). This series gains one bar per week as snapshots accumulate.

1-week survival rate by join week

Jun 1 (112)
75%
Jun 8 (42)
90%
Jun 15 (26)
85%
Jun 22 (28)
79%

Measurable subscribers in parentheses. Only cohorts that joined within snapshot coverage (Jun 2 onward) can be measured at exactly ~1 week; earlier cohorts appear in the retention-to-date chart below. The Jun 1 cohort (75%) was the paid-traffic spike — early evidence that source affects stick rate.

Retention to date, by join-week cohort (as of Jul 7)

Apr 6 (74)
77%
Apr 13 (46)
80%
Apr 20 (26)
81%
Apr 27 (43)
95%
May 4 (25)
76%
May 11 (21)
86%
May 18 (16)
75%
May 25 (34)
74%
Jun 1 (150)
71%
Jun 8 (42)
88%
Jun 15 (26)
81%
Jun 22 (28)
79%

Cohort size in parentheses. Jun 29 cohort omitted (only 4 subscribers — too small to read). As snapshots accumulate, each cohort's bar updates weekly, turning this into a survival curve.

List-wide churn rate (% of actives lost per week)

Jun 9–23
0.30%
Jun 23–30
0.29%
Jun 30–Jul 7
0.35%

Subscriber flow (people per week: gained vs. lost)

WindowReal New / wkUnsubs / wkNet / wk
Jun 9–23 (14d, averaged)+34.5−20+14.5
Jun 23–30+26−19+7
Jun 30–Jul 7+3−23−20
Source: email-data/cohort-retention.csv and email-data/weekly-metrics.csv, both recomputed from the committed snapshots each week (scripts: compute-cohort-retention.py, compute-weekly-metrics.py). Cohort retention = still-subscribed ÷ everyone who joined that week (bots excluded). Churn = unsubscribes ÷ actives at window start. The Jul 7 net-negative week is an acquisition problem (Twitter organic went to zero), not a churn spike.
07 · Method

How this report is built

Categories. Every email is classified by its CTA: apply → patstedman.com/apply (1-on-1 coaching), product → the Masterclass or Tackling Texting sales pages, content → a podcast, video, or post. Comparisons are always within category — a content email's 2% click rate and an apply email's 0.15% are both normal.

Baselines. Trailing 90 days, full-list sends only. All-time averages are inflated by the higher-open era of late 2025.

Excluded outliers. Sends under 1,000 recipients are excluded from all averages — these are segmented sends to buyers, event registrants, or sales-page visitors (e.g., "The Dynamic Man Masterclass is HERE" at 83% open to 249 buyers, the Forbidden Intimacy Deep Dive emails at ~380 registrants, "Your Free Call" to 24 people). They're a different audience, not a signal about copy. The most recent 2 days of sends are shown but not scored, since opens are still accumulating.

Sales proxy. BerserkerMail doesn't report per-email revenue. "Sold well" = high-intent clicks on apply/product emails plus buyer-tag changes in the weekly list export attributed to that window.